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http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-05-30/greek-day-of-reckoning-looms-in-ponzi-europe-mario-i-blejer.html Mario I. Blejer is a former governor of Argentinas central bank, was a senior adviser to the International Monetary Fund and is currently the vice chairman of Banco Hipotecario SA. Photographer: Andrew Harrer/Bloomberg Play VideoMay 31, 2011 Dirk Faltin, a senior economist at UBS AG, talks about Greeces debt crisis and bond yields. He speaks from Zurich with Francine Lacqua on Bloomberg Televisions The Pulse. (Source: Bloomberg)One of the undeniable features of the European debt crisis is the tendency to obscure, verbally and politically, the real issues at play. Euphemisms, statistical gimmicks, meaningless institutional squabbling, undecipherable acronyms, and plain double talk proliferate as part of the debate.In my experience as central-bank governor in Argentina during the worst financial crisis in our history, at the beginning of this century, I learned how useful it is to cut through the fog in order to rebuild credibility and to allow a more lucid evaluation of the outlook. While there are few similarities between Greeces present debt situation and Argentinas in 2002, it is possible to reduce the recent talk of a default to four basic issues and make some predictions.The nature of the debt problem in peripheral Europe is structural. Since it doesnt reflect a temporary liquidity squeeze, the approach adopted so far cant resolve it. The strategy in progress has been to pile new debt upon the existing stock. New loans are used to pay old debt, in addition to financing remaining fiscal gaps. This is why the Ponzi schemeanalogy is appropriate. And while the pyramid Laptop Accessories is growing, the share of peripheral debt held by state-owned institutions also keeps getting bigger. This means that when it all finally collapses, it is the taxpayers of Europe, and the world, that will bear the full cost.Growing PyramidThe pyramid may continue to grow for a while, particularly if the cement used is public funds. But it is an unstable construction because European bailouts are becoming politically questionable and because throwing International Monetary Fund money into the Ponzi scheme is raising objections. This strategy is only making the situation worse.The IMF has performed badly in this crisis. Its programs are bound to fail because their design is profoundly flawed. They contain two basic blunders. First, they have wrongly assumed that peripheral countries could return to the voluntary capital market next year. Today we know that Greeces ability to borrow 30 billion euros ($43 billion) in 2012 is nothing but a fantasy. The programs, therefore, remain unfinanced. And the situation promises to be even more difficult in 2013 if the perverse permanent-bailout mechanism being designed is adopted.Second, programs have been based on dreamy debt sustainability scenarios in which countries outgrow their debt under severe fiscal tightening. But since these austerity plans cause deep recessions, the debt/gross-domestic-product ratios increase over time in all peripheral nations. How this squares with sustainability, and how the macroeconomics add up, is hard to comprehend.Asset SalesOne proposed solution has been the sale of state assets. But currently this would result, at best, in fire sales. If there is low demand for Greek debt, why would investors want the countrys equity? The Latin American experience is that privatization has been, in general, good for efficiency and productivity, but never resolved a fiscal structural imbalance.All this shouldnt detract from the need for fiscal and structural adjustments as part of a long-term solution. But there is no long-term stable solution without debt relief, which, in plain English, means default. There are many ways of defaulting, but it is evident that without a significant haircut for bond investors there is no way out. The real question isnt whether, Wholesale Desk Lamps but when and how.Market AccessIn this context, two issues arise: regaining market access and contagion. On the first, experience indicates that it is easier to regain market access after a well-coordinated debt- burden reduction than it is before. The example of Uruguay comes to mind. And Argentina, with still pending concerns, could access the market today, if it wished, at half the Greek spread and below Portugals and Irelands. Another more recent example is the Vienna Initiative, a coordinated strategy used in Eastern Europe to prevent the withdrawal of cross-border banks during the financial crisis. It could be adapted to the periphery to help with a debt restructuring.Regarding contagion, it is undeniable a credit event in Greece would cause political contagion in Ireland and Portugal. But once it happened, it may even relieve the pressure on Spain and other potentially compromised sovereigns. Contagion through the deterioration of bank balance sheets should be addressed by recapitalizing affected lenders within a program financed by the resources directed today to increase the pyramid of debt.Crisis ManagementThe institutional crisis-management setting is in disarray: The European Union wouldnt oppose a default (if it could use a different word); the IMF demands financial assurances for next year; and the European Central Bank is ardently opposed to any form of debt relief. The most likely scenario is that the ECB will, again, make a U-turn before reaching the abyss (as it did with secondary bond-market Wholesale Cigarette Case purchases). The ECB threats to cut Greek banks from access to liquidity in case of default are very dangerous, and ultimately not credible, because it could trigger an accelerated bank run and detonate a banking crisis, including the possibility of a deposit freeze similar to the one that was such a disaster in Argentina. This would have more potential to damage the euro than any credit event.As for the Argentine experience, it is important to remark that, while without the default the economy wouldnt have been able to recover as it did, the experiences arent directly comparable. Argentina was able to devalue its currency and was also helped by a big improvement in terms of trade and significant fiscal adjustment. But there is an important lesson. Postponing inevitable actions increase the cost of eventual adjustment. At the time of the default, Argentinas output had already declined by more than 10 percent. A timely and friendlier negotiation aimed at obtaining debt relief would have saved the country several years of pain.The current European strategy, if there is one, seems to be to delay the day of reckoning. It could, however, be useful, if the time gained is utilized to prepare for the inevitable default. Just muddling through, in the mist of a cacophony of contradictory statements that further erode the credibility of the crisis-management framework, only creates uncertainty and is a recipe for major disaster.(Mario I. Blejer is a former governor of Argentinas central bank, was a senior adviser to the International Monetary Fund and is currently the vice chairman of Banco Hipotecario SA. (BHIP)The opinions expressed are his own.)To contact the writer of this column: Mario Blejer at admin@blejer.comTo contact the editor responsible for this story: David Shipley at djshipley@bloomberg.net

The Rise Of Replica A Lange & Sohne Watches

Bell and Ross Replica Watches are some of the most sought-after on the market today. Though a small Swiss manufacturer of very recent origins, the label has been a big hit, popular especially with the military and security personnel whom the company targets for a customer base. In fact, their initial success stemmed from their adoption by NATO and the likes of Frances bomb disposal services. Bell and Ross Replica Watches are in some respects easy to make for counterfeiters, as they do not appear to utilize any particularly exclusive design and technical elements, though they look just fine and work superbly against any chronograph available today and thus, there is a demand for replica watches.

However, of all the Bell and Ross Replica Watches to be found online, the BR-01 is arguably the most successful of all replica watches. It had better be, as the BR Instrument line has proved to be a perennial moneymaker for the company, and there is no shortage of genuine BR-01 wristwatches with which to compare a replica watches to. The usual telltale signs are false (engraved) casing screws on the caseback, substituting quartz movement for automatic movement, and even obviously smaller housing dimensions.

The range of Bell and Ross Replica Watches do not, unfortunately, cover all the models ever produced. As of this writing, their Mystery Diamond timepiece for women seems available only in its original form, at close to five thousand dollars in the United States. It is one of the most interesting wristwatches anywhere, with a floating diamond that serves in place of the hour-hand, rounding out the dial every twenty-four hours. Another highpoint for the company is its Hydromax line of waterproof wristwatches rated for underwater work at eleven thousand meters deep, or almost seven whole miles - a world record certified by the people behind the Guinness Book of Records.

People all around the world wear sunglasses which add Rolex Cellini on to their personality and give a stylish look as well. Sunglasses have been in fashion since 1950s. There are some designers that are designing sunglasses for the past many years. The designer sunglasses are Rolex Watches high on quality but the prices are pretty high as well. But a common consumer will not like to pay such a high price for a pair of sunglasses. If you are facing the same problem then you should consider buying wholesale replica sunglasses. These sunglasses are fabricated using high quality raw material and some of the best replica sunglasses can be compared to the original masterpieces designed by reputed designers.

Rolex Perpetual

The Bell and Ross label is currently comprised of four collections, each meant to evoke a different set of feelings. Founded in 1992 by childhood friends, the company employs a mix of jewelry designers and aerospace engineers to produce luxurious timepieces governed by four essential principles: readability, performance, precision, and water resistance. Now meticulously manufactured by themselves in a state-of-the-art production facility located at the famous watchmaking town of La Chaux-de-Fonds, Switzerland, Bell & Ross timepieces promise even more reliability for those engaged in demanding and even hazardous occupations, like pilots, emergency rescue workers, and tactical personnel attached to police departments worldwide.

If you want to buy a Swiss Watches that goes beyond your expectations, opt for a Replica A Lange & Sohne Watches. The manufacturer of this watch line takes over one year to assemble and create 220-minute watches. Rolex watches are known to come with very expensive price tags.

The history of gold in South Africa&act=print

South Africa is the most advanced and richest country of Africa. It owes all its economical development to abundance of mineral resources like gold, diamond, platinum and coal etc. The country is the leading producer of precious metals such as this metal and platinum. Almost 50% of the reserves of the world are found in South Africa. South Africa was the largest gold iphone 4s controller case producer and exporter till 2007, when China surpassed it. South Africa kept its title of the largest gold producer of the world for about half century.Gold Mines In JohannesburgIn Johannesburg the largest gold reserves of the world were found in the area of the Witwatersrand, and this is the reason why South Africa is one of the leaders in this metal mining. Johannesburg is often called as "Egoli", which means the city of gold, by the locals. The Western Deep Level Mines have a depth of about 3900m and is one of the deepest mines in the world.TauTona: The TuaTona mine lies near the town of Carletonville in Johannesburg and is one jewelry scale reviews of the three Western Deep Levels mines of the West Wits gold field. The name "TauTona" means "great lion" in the Setswana language. It was originally built by the Anglo American Corporation. This metal excavation from this mine started in 1962, and it remains active even when the gold prices are low. The mine today has some 800 kilometres of tunnels, and about 5,600 miners work in these tunnels to extract this metal.Great Noligwa Gold Mine: This is one of four mines operated by AngloGold Ashanti in the Vaal River area. It produces about 600,000 ounces of this metal each year. Some of the other famous gold-mines of South Africa are Kopanang Gold Mine, Moab Khotsong Mine, Mponeng Mine, Savuka Mine, Tau Lekoa Mine etc.Active Gold Mining Companies In South AfricaAngloGold: AngloGold is the largest gold mining company of the world. It was formed by the merger of two companies namely the AngloGold and the Ashanti Goldfields in 2004. In South Africa, AngloGold is operating in Gauteng and the North West Province, and is mainly responsible for mining at Great Noligwa Mine, Kopanang Mine and Moab Khotsong Mine.Harmony Gold Mining Company: Harmony Gold Mining is the 12th largest gold excavating company in the world and the 3rd largest in South Africa. It is ranked 5th among the world gold producers. It is actively operating in different areas of South Africa.Avgold: Avgold is South African gold mining company and is a subsidiary of Harmony Gold Company. Nowadays, Avgold is producing gold from several marginal gold mines along the Western Wits, including Durban Roodepoort Deep (Durban Deep), Hartebeesfontein (Harties) and West Witwatersrand (West Wits) in South-Africa.Most of gold exploration efforts in South-Africa have been focused on the Witwatersrand Basin, the most prolific gold producing nwt womens jackets region in the world. The Wits Basin still has enormous reserves, but the development of these has been hampered by the costs of accessing the ore bodies that are generally located at depths greater than 3km, because gold excavation in deeper mines is quite costly.

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